11.7 Review

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    The do-notation extends the language of conditional probability to include intervention on some variables and observing other variables.

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    A causal network is a belief network where P⁢(X∣p⁢a⁢r⁢e⁢n⁢t⁢s⁢(X))=P⁢(X∣d⁢o⁢(p⁢a⁢r⁢e⁢n⁢t⁢s⁢(X))) for each variable X – intervening on the parents of a variable has the same effect as observing them.

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    D-separation characterizes which conditional independencies follow from the independencies of a directed graphical model (belief network). The do-calculus extends d-separation to include interventions.

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    The do-calculus can be used to show cases where the effect of interventions can be computed from observational data, including the backdoor and front-door criteria.

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    There are cases, such as in Simpson’s paradox, where the probabilistic inferences depend on the causal model and not just the data.

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    Counterfactual reasoning can be used to answer “what-if” queries.

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    Causal assumptions can be used to go beyond randomized clinical trials, if the assumptions are accepted.